Dr. Debate
Northeastern's Alan Schroeder talks about 40 years of televised debates
-- and about the upcoming slugfest between Gore and Bush
by Dan Kennedy
What follows is a longer version of the interview with Alan Schroeder,
assistant professor of journalism at Northeastern University and author of the
just-released Presidential Debates: Forty Years of High-Risk TV
(Columbia University Press) that appears in this week's Phoenix.
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THE DEBATE
made no
sense to Schroeder, who's studied every match-up between presidential
candidates since 1960.
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Q: So, was George W. Bush afraid to debate because he's too stupid or
what?
A: [Laughter.] Well, he was pretty clearly afraid to debate.
First, he was afraid of being outmatched, intellectually and otherwise, by Al
Gore. But second, I think there's a family tradition of being resistant to
debates. I think that George W. must have looked at his father's example and
said, "This is really dangerous. I'm not sure I want to have happen to me what
happened to him" -- especially in the 1984 debate with Geraldine Ferraro, which
I think was one of George Sr.'s worst performances.
And then there was the 1992 town-hall debate in which Bush was caught looking
at his watch, told a woman in the audience "I don't get it" when she asked him
a question about the national debt, and was generally thought to have really
done himself a lot of harm. So I think those were his two trepidations.
Q: Even though Bush has done well in the polls all year, and was
ahead until recently, he's still going up against an incumbent vice-president.
Didn't it occur to him to he had to debate in order to establish himself as an
equal to Gore?
A: It must have. This whole strategy about trying to scale back the
debates completely mystified me, and I have looked at all of these negotiations
really closely. I've never seen one quite like this. It seems to me that the
Bush people were dealing from what they considered a position of strength,
because if you're in command of the situation you can dictate your terms, and
if you don't want to do the debates as proposed then you have enough clout to
get your way. But they didn't have that standing.
So they used a kind of frontrunner's strategy when in reality they were not the
frontrunners -- and it backfired big time, if I can quote our vice-presidential
candidate Dick Cheney. He knew he had to debate, and he wanted to get the best
possible deal for himself, as candidates always do. But in this instance he was
doing so from a false sense of security.
Q: You write that there's been a drawn-out debate over the debates
during almost every presidential campaign. Why did Bush come out of this
particular debate over debates looking so silly?
A: This is the first time that a major-party candidate has tried to
stiff the Commission on Presidential Debates. That made it different, because
the commission, while not everybody's favorite organization, has done a
creditable job, and no campaign has ever come back after the fact and
complained about their sponsorship.
This notion about not wanting to debate in Boston is the first time any
candidate ever, for geopolitical reasons, wanted to avoid a particular city. I
mean, you are running for president of the country. You can't just designate
certain areas as being off limits.
And this paranoia about format -- they're always concerned about format, but
this insistence that it had to be a sit-down with a moderator in a studio, and
that somehow that was going to be the saving grace for George W. Bush -- was
also not really on target. The bottom line is, Gore's good in that format, too.
Gore's been very good in that format.
So there were a lot of odd and mistaken assumptions that made this debate over
debates a little bit different. And maybe things will come out in the weeks
that will help put some of this into context. But right now I'm more confused
and baffled by it than anything else.
Q: On the face of it, the objection to Boston makes a little bit of
sense. But I assume that the Bush campaign would have had a lot of say, and
will have a lot of say, over who's going to be in the audience.
A: Yes. The audience, in these commission-sponsored debates, is an even
three-way split. Each campaign and the commission split the audience seating
three ways. And to the viewer at home, it is anywhere. Because I'm sure if you
went around and surveyed people even the day after the debate and asked them
where was it held, this is not the thing uppermost in any viewer's mind.
Not that Bush had a chance of carrying Massachusetts; he really doesn't,
obviously. But there are other New England states in play that might take
offense. The whole idea that you single out a part of the country for some
advance retribution was just a really weird strategy.
Q: Al Gore's reputation as a master debater comes from annihilating
flakes like Ross Perot and stiffs like Bill Bradley. Yet he had trouble in 1992
with Dan Quayle, of all people. How good is he really?
A: Al Gore has been very lucky in his opponents. He has never gone
against one of the what I would call master debaters: a Bill Clinton, a Ronald
Reagan. He's never had a one-on-one with Jesse Jackson. Bill Bradley was not a
wonderful debater. And Ross Perot was, as you say, a flake.
So why did Quayle do so well against him? I think Quayle's performance itself
was nothing to write home about, but he was being measured by his previous
performance, so he appeared to do better than he really did. But Gore was
effective at coming out of the gate swinging. His very first remark reminded
the audience that two out of the three people on stage [Gore and Admiral James
Stockdale, Perot's running mate] were Vietnam veterans and therefore Quayle was
not. And then he zinged Dan Quayle about the you-are-no-J.F. Kennedy remark
[first delivered by Lloyd Bentsen four years earlier] in a very direct way.
Gore's mistake there was in not coming to Clinton's defense. Gore's performance
certainly had its moments, but overall he didn't come to Clinton's defense
after Quayle gave Clinton a pretty serious pounding. And that was a bad move.
I don't think Gore is the great master debater. I think he's a really prepared
debater, and there's much to be said for preparation. And I think that he does
something else well, which is to understand a particular moment and understand
what is unique about a particular opponent. If you read the James Fallows piece
in the Atlantic Monthly, you'll see that he studied very closely what
would get under Perot's skin, what would get under Quayle's skin. And he
deliberately tailors his debate performance to his opponent.
On the downside, he is not a warm, fuzzy character. He has this tendency to be
very pedantic. He has a tendency to be sing-songy in his approach. So from some
of the stylistics, I think he's maybe not as natural a television performer as
certain others. If Bush has even a fighting chance here, he has to sort of
out-gregarious, if you will, his opponent. He has to be funnier and looser and
more natural. Because Al Gore is none of those things.
Dan Kennedy's work can be accessed from his Web site:
http://www.dankennedy.net
Articles from July 24, 1997 & before can be accessed here